Country · score from open sources
Jordan
Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan & Pakistan
HRI 21 of 100: higher means riskier. Calm ≤33, risky ≥56. Both rays measure risk: the longer the ray, the worse.
conflict, political instability, inflation
news sentiment for the country
Horizons & uncertainty
Central line = today's level. On 4,428 country-years, assuming no change proved about twice as accurate as extrapolating a trend, so we don't invent one. The band is the calibrated 80% range of historical outcomes; * = horizon not covered by the backtest. How we tested this →
What this means for entering
no blocking issues in the covered areasContract enforcement
Courts are uneven: timing and outcome are hard to predict. Build in an arbitration clause and payment security.
Why, and what to do about it →
Rule of law 0.17 on the WGI scale (−2.5 to +2.5), weak-courts threshold −0.8; worse than 43% of countries. Courts function, but timing and outcomes are volatile.
- An arbitration clause in every contract
- Payment security for large amounts: bank guarantee or letter of credit
- Staged payments instead of long credit terms
Deal economics: Not prohibitive, but long receivables need a provision for late payment.
Regulation & licensing
Predictable regulation: licensing timelines can go into the plan as stated.
Why, and what to do about it →
Regulatory quality 0.28 on the WGI scale (−2.5 to +2.5), zone above +0.2; better than 64% of countries. Stated procedure timelines usually match reality.
- Licensing timelines can go into the plan as stated
- Standard legal support, no dedicated regulatory counsel needed
Deal economics: Regulatory risk needs no separate budget line.
Corruption exposure
Low corruption exposure: standard compliance policies suffice.
Why, and what to do about it →
Control of corruption 0.27 on the WGI scale (−2.5 to +2.5), zone above +0.2; better than 62% of countries. Hidden transaction costs are not typical.
- Standard compliance policies suffice
- Ordinary counterparty KYC, no enhanced regime
Deal economics: No hidden transaction costs in the normal case.
Physical security
No significant armed violence recorded, so standard travel policies apply.
Why, and what to do about it →
Conflict intensity 0 of 100 on the UCDP log scale: no significant armed events recorded in the period. This counts confirmed casualties, not news tone.
- Standard travel policies apply, no premiums needed
Deal economics: Physical security adds no cost of entry.
Pricing & currency
Inflation 1.8%: pricing can be planned on a normal annual cycle.
Why, and what to do about it →
Inflation 1.8% a year (World Bank, CPI): within a normal planning cycle.
- Annual pricing works as is
Deal economics: Currency and price risk is budget-normal.
Operational continuity
Medium disaster exposure: check seasonal hazards and logistics headroom.
Why, and what to do about it →
INFORM Risk 4.4 of 10 (medium band 3.5 to 6.5, EU JRC): hazard exposure 3.7, coping capacity 3.5 (higher is worse).
- Check seasonal hazards for your regions
- Logistics headroom for the peak season
Deal economics: Targeted property and cargo insurance usually covers the risk without heavy infrastructure.
Derived mechanically from the live values on this page using published scales (World Bank WGI −2.5…+2.5, INFORM 0–10, UCDP intensity). Operational guidance, not legal advice.
Why this verdict
What drives the risk
data- Conflict (UCDP)0
- Political instability (WGI)57
- Inflation5
- Travel advisories · soonn/a
Conflict data: UCDP/GED, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0).
News background
dataGDELT global news tone. Notably negative coverage.
Doing business: governance
WGI- Rule of law0.17
- Regulatory quality0.28
- Control of corruption0.27
World Bank WGI, −2.5 to +2.5 (higher is better). Shown separately, not folded into HRI, because the weights aren't backtested.
Disasters & resilience
INFORM 2026- Hazard3.7
- Vulnerability6.5
- Lack of coping capacity3.5
INFORM Risk, European Commission JRC. A separate layer, deliberately not folded into HRI, which measures conflict, political instability and inflation.
Next steps
Once the data points to a market, the entry itself is a path, and we help with each step.
Scenario session (Custom Research)
A facilitated SWOT-style session with the School: your team's readiness and blind spots for this market.
How it works →Partners & leads on the ground
Once a market is chosen: vetted local partners and lead generation to enter without burning budget.
Talk to us →Market content & launch
Localized social and content for the new market, so the entry is visible from day one.
See how →🔒 Full access: 1 year, 3 years and 10 years
Long horizons, verdict-change alerts and briefs come with paid packages.
Arxterra is for information only and is not investment, legal, tax or any other advice, an offer or a recommendation. Scores are computed from the listed sources; we do not guarantee their accuracy or completeness. You make decisions yourself. Conflict data: UCDP/GED, Uppsala University (CC BY 4.0); governance & economy: World Bank; news: The GDELT Project.